Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.049846 0.058237 0.067584 0.078765 0.091778 0.106444 0.124231
2025-10-05 0.037361 0.048457 0.062130 0.080213 0.103498 0.132481 0.171326
2025-10-12 0.029743 0.041792 0.057834 0.080740 0.112605 0.155386 0.217251
2025-10-19 0.024598 0.036917 0.054396 0.080974 0.120368 0.176639 0.263238
2025-10-26 0.021151 0.033603 0.052268 0.082235 0.129147 0.199826 0.314583
2025-11-02 0.018796 0.031418 0.051283 0.084760 0.139777 0.226689 0.374676
2025-11-09 0.015864 0.027783 0.047401 0.081962 0.141346 0.239312 0.413541
2025-11-16 0.013946 0.025498 0.045315 0.081684 0.146790 0.258569 0.465484
2025-11-23 0.012280 0.023374 0.043158 0.080884 0.151057 0.276113 0.516420
2025-11-30 0.011213 0.022167 0.042421 0.082457 0.159649 0.302097 0.585571
2025-12-07 0.009988 0.020470 0.040535 0.081577 0.163465 0.319676 0.641065
2025-12-14 0.008783 0.018633 0.038124 0.079318 0.164242 0.331469 0.686638
2025-12-21 0.007685 0.016877 0.035678 0.076735 0.164183 0.341914 0.731549
2025-12-28 0.007146 0.016223 0.035387 0.078575 0.173490 0.372339 0.821731
2026-01-04 0.006558 0.015376 0.034575 0.079176 0.180212 0.398185 0.905484
2026-01-11 0.006011 0.014538 0.033665 0.079422 0.186155 0.423026 0.990157
2026-01-18 0.005596 0.013948 0.033224 0.080663 0.194481 0.454052 1.092716
2026-01-25 0.005304 0.013607 0.033310 0.083141 0.205990 0.493605 1.220105
2026-02-01 0.004720 0.012461 0.031340 0.080396 0.204627 0.503117 1.276920
2026-02-08 0.004342 0.011785 0.030420 0.080123 0.209291 0.527490 1.373259
2026-02-15 0.003976 0.011087 0.029357 0.079338 0.212550 0.548796 1.464568
2026-02-22 0.003759 0.010759 0.029195 0.080881 0.222027 0.586745 1.603621
2026-03-01 0.003452 0.010138 0.028185 0.080019 0.225003 0.608397 1.702347